Will you die from COVID-19?
By: Adam D.
Reports from internet news aggregators omitting critical statistics on the Coronavirus in the United States to maintain panic in the population during the days leading to the Presidential election is at a record high. For example: Infection Fatality Rate (IFR), by age, from the CDC – Ages 0-19 - .003%, Ages 20-49 - .02%, Ages 50-69 - .5%, Ages 70+ - 5.4%. The World Health Organization “estimates the proportion of deaths among all infected individuals.” A person between the ages of 20 and 49 years has a 99.98% chance of survival if infected. The fatality increase by ten times among the elderly (Aged 70+), and a significant percentage of deaths registered in the United States are among the elderly.
On September 11, the Center for Disease Control (CDC) reported 8 out of 10 (80%) of US deaths from COVID-19 were among those over 65 years of age. While protecting the vulnerable, the young and healthy appear to be at a lower risk of death, and society's shutdown might not be warranted. Our friends at CBS News reported on July 29, 2020, identifying six levels of COVID-19 symptoms with increasing levels of severity based on a study of 1600 patients in the UK and US. The mildest cases involved no fever but a headache and cold-like symptoms. More severe levels included fever and gastrointestinal symptoms in different combinations, or the addition of fatigue, confusion, and other factors. Patients with the most severe cases involved multiple symptoms and were most likely to require, according to the report, assistance with breathing and hospitalization. Worth noting is that the patients with the severest level of cases were older with weaker immune systems or pre-existing conditions.
The Hill published an opinion piece on October 7, regarding the possible understatement of infected individuals in the United States. Thus, if total cases are higher than reported and many of these undetected cases exhibit no symptoms, then the death rate might be lower than widely reported. The author, Dr. Deane Waldman, cites an early Stanford study in Santa Clara in April 2020, which suggested that the actual number of infected could reach 85x more than reported. Interesting to note are the low numbers of deaths attributable purely to COVID 19, excluding co-morbidities such as immune deficiencies, diabetes, and cancer.
While recognizing the devastating impact of COVID-19 on many families, as a nation, an examination of actual risks versus hyped risks, and the dangerous mental and economic side effects of the COVID 19 is long overdue.
Follow us on Twitter today.